Chicago White Sox Plan to Trade Garrett Crochet: Insights and Analysis

The Chicago White Sox are preparing for a significant change to their pitching staff this offseason as they plan to trade Garrett Crochet, a move that has become more of a question of "when" rather than "if," according to insights from a rival evaluator at the recent GM Meetings.

Crochet's Value and Performance

Garrett Crochet, known for his powerful presence on the mound, has become a substantial asset for the White Sox since his entry into the rotation. At 25 years old, Crochet still has two years left under team control, making him an attractive target in the trade market. His 2024 season statistics demonstrate why teams would be eager for his services.

During 2024, Crochet showcased his pitching prowess by pitching 146 innings with a 3.58 ERA. Further analysis reveals even more impressive metrics: a 2.69 Fielding Independent Pitching (FIP) and a deserved run average of 2.75. His expected ERA was similarly remarkable at 2.83. Contributing to these outcomes was his dominating strikeout rate of 35.1%, leading pitchers who threw at least 140 innings. Despite this power, Crochet maintained control effectively, evidenced by his modest 5.5% walk rate.

Adjustments and Arsenal Expansion

In 2024, Crochet enhanced his repertoire with the addition of a cutter, clocking in the low 90s. Moreover, late in the season, he unveiled a formidable upper-90s sinker, which proved highly effective; opponents managed a mere .154 batting average against it. Out of a total of 50 sinkers thrown, 36 came in his final three starts, underscoring his strategic deployment of this pitch. These adjustments not only added depth to his arsenal but also contributed to his effectiveness, particularly against right-handed batters, where he outperformed his results against left-handed hitters.

Contract Dynamics and Team Context

Off the field, Crochet's contract situation has played a pivotal role in the impending decision to trade. Asserting his value, Crochet had demanded a contract extension to participate in the postseason. For the 2024 season, he earned $800,000, with projections estimating his salary to rise to $2.9 million in 2025. His bold stance, in conjunction with his performance, hints at ongoing negotiations that might not have aligned with the White Sox’s future plans.

The White Sox’s decision is also influenced by their broader strategic context. Statistically, they were the worst defensive team in 2024, a factor potentially diminishing Crochet's effectiveness further despite his commendable individual performance.

Future Prospects

The departure of Garrett Crochet could lead to significant reshuffling within the White Sox pitching staff. Crochet’s missed 2022 season due to Tommy John surgery underlines his resilience and capacity to bounce back, which may also reassure potential suitors of his long-term potential.

Teams in need of a high-caliber pitcher who can demonstrate sustained performance and adaptability may find Crochet an enticing prospect. As the offseason unfolds, the timing of his trade will be pivotal, potentially influencing the White Sox’s efforts in restructuring their defensive tactics and pitching strategy for an improved overall team performance in the coming seasons.